Our growth-based valuation approach to Software as a Service (SaaS) companies has received significant industry recognition and use. Five public SaaS acquisitions confirmed our SaaS valuation model last published in March of 2011. During 2011 and 1Q2012, SaaS companies maintained and even expanded the valuation premium gap to the rest of the software sector. Even though acceptance of SaaS among business and IT buyers has grown meaningfully in 2011 and Q12012, production use indicates a very early stage of adoption. As the market matures, revenue growth remains the dominant valuation factor. Other SaaS valuation variables such as cash flow growth, expansion in GAAP profitability, and a premium for dominant market share are likely to gain prominence by 2014-2015. This Research Note provides updated valuation benchmarks and a revised SaaS valuation formula. It reviews key operating data, risks to SaaS valuations, equity market performance, and MGI’s outlook for SaaS M&A. Key issues include:
Software-as-a-Service (SaaS)
From buzzword to a multi-billion dollar market, software as a service (SaaS) has grown explosively.
- Will the SaaS revenue growth continue?
- Can SaaS software move beyond departmental/horizontal applications and displace legacy ERP systems?
- What are the limits of SaaS applications?
- How should CIOs evaluate the risks and benefits of SaaS vs on-premise solutions?
- How can on-premise software vendors successfully transition to SaaS?
- How can CIOs effectively balance SaaS with their legacy application software portfolios?
- What are the best practices for evaluating and implementing SaaS solutions?
- How should SaaS companies be valued? What are the best SaaS valuation metrics?
These are some of the topics addressed in MGI’s research agenda for SaaS.
Companies covered include Salesforce.com, Kenexa, Success Factors, RightNow, WorkDay and many others - public and private.
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Oracle's Next Cloud Move is RightNow
On Monday, October 24th 2011 Oracle (NASDAQ: ORCL) announced that it was offering to buy RightNow Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ: RNOW) for approximately $1.5 billion. Oracle will pay $43 per share, a nearly 20 percent premium to RightNow’s closing price of $35.96 on previous Friday. We see the combination as a positive for both RNOW and ORCL. This is the first sizeable cloud software deal for Oracle. Remarkably, the acquisition Enterprise Value (EV) multiple is within 5% of what would have been predicted for RNOW by our SaaS valuation model in March 2011.
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SaaS Valuation: What Price is Right?
Valuations of leading Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) companies continue to set stock market records. Technology entrepreneurs, executives and investors are faced with critical questions of how to properly position their companies for optimal valuation. Should SaaS companies be focused on growth or profitability? Does size matter? What operational levers can generate the highest impact on valuation and stock market performance? What characteristics separate the best-in-class software firms from the average? Are the current multiples sustainable? What companies or segments of the SaaS sector are undervalued and why?
This research report focuses on the key issues related to valuation, operating and market performance benchmarks of SaaS and Enterprise Software companies. Includes data on over 100 publicly trading software firms such as Salesforce.com (CRM), SuccessFactors (SFSF), Taleo (TLEO), Kenexa (KNXA), Concur (CNQR), Intuit (INTU) and many others. Contains a detailed analysis of factors that drive valuation for SaaS firms, including a simple formula for valuing SaaS companies.
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